Lukasz Brzeski vs Ryan Spann

July 19, 2025

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

912
(-18)
Lukasz Brzeski
Winner: Ryan Spann
Submission
Round 1 • 2:47

C-ELO Evolution

Lukasz Brzeski-18
Ryan Spann+19
1149
(+19)
Ryan Spann

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Lukasz Brzeski: -13Ryan Spann: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricLukasz BrzeskiRyan Spann
Total UFC Fights715
Experience Gap-88
Experience ELO9091 170
ELO Change-13+13
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What Happened

Ryan Spann's 8-fight experience advantage (15 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ryan Spann for the expected result. Had Lukasz Brzeski pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Lukasz Brzeski: -15Ryan Spann: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricLukasz BrzeskiRyan Spann
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9361 067
ELO Change-15+15
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Lukasz Brzeski: -8Ryan Spann: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricLukasz BrzeskiRyan Spann
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:472:47
Win Type ELO9571 379
ELO Change-8+13
💡

What Happened

Ryan Spann earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:47, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Lukasz Brzeski: -13Ryan Spann: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricLukasz BrzeskiRyan Spann
Significant Strikes Landed58
Significant Strikes Attempted819
Total Strikes Landed238
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO8571 083
ELO Change-13+13
💡

What Happened

Lukasz Brzeski controlled the striking through superior volume (23 vs 8 total strikes), superior accuracy (62.5% vs 42.1%). However, since Lukasz Brzeski lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ryan Spann's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Lukasz Brzeski: -52Ryan Spann: +52

Performance Statistics

MetricLukasz BrzeskiRyan Spann
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:002:14
Ground Strikes Landed06
Ground ELO8041 142
ELO Change-52+52
💡

What Happened

Ryan Spann dominated Lukasz Brzeski on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:14 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Lukasz Brzeski: -10Ryan Spann: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricLukasz BrzeskiRyan Spann
Days Since Last Fight224126
Activity ELO9561 191
ELO Change-10+20
💡

What Happened

Ryan Spann demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ryan Spann capitalized on this activity level, while Lukasz Brzeski's 224-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Lukasz Brzeski: -14Ryan Spann: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricLukasz BrzeskiRyan Spann
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9411 099
ELO Change-14+15
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What Happened

Ryan Spann started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lukasz Brzeski is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Lukasz Brzeski: -15Ryan Spann: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricLukasz BrzeskiRyan Spann
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9361 063
ELO Change-15+15
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.