Lukasz Brzeski vs Valter Walker

April 5, 2024

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

973
(+33)
Lukasz Brzeski
Winner: Lukasz Brzeski
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Lukasz Brzeski+33
Valter Walker-32
968
(-32)
Valter Walker

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Lukasz Brzeski: +39Valter Walker: -39

Performance Statistics

MetricLukasz BrzeskiValter Walker
Total UFC Fights41
Experience Gap3-3
Experience ELO958961
ELO Change+39-39
💡

What Happened

Lukasz Brzeski's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Lukasz Brzeski for the expected result. Had Valter Walker pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Lukasz Brzeski: +23Valter Walker: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricLukasz BrzeskiValter Walker
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO984977
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Lukasz Brzeski: +48Valter Walker: -48

Performance Statistics

MetricLukasz BrzeskiValter Walker
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 002952
ELO Change+48-48
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What Happened

Lukasz Brzeski earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Lukasz Brzeski: +49Valter Walker: -49

Performance Statistics

MetricLukasz BrzeskiValter Walker
Significant Strikes Landed5833
Significant Strikes Attempted10267
Total Strikes Landed13556
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO975951
ELO Change+49-49
💡

What Happened

Lukasz Brzeski dominated the striking exchanges with 135 vs 56 total strikes, 58 vs 33 significant strikes. Lukasz Brzeski capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Lukasz Brzeski: +28Valter Walker: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricLukasz BrzeskiValter Walker
Takedowns Landed04
Takedowns Attempted05
Ground Control Time0:437:19
Ground Strikes Landed08
Ground ELO906972
ELO Change+28-28
💡

What Happened

Lukasz Brzeski did not secure a significant ground advantage against Valter Walker on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:43 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Lukasz Brzeski: +29Valter Walker: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricLukasz BrzeskiValter Walker
Days Since Last Fight224N/A
Activity ELO991977
ELO Change+29-23
💡

What Happened

Lukasz Brzeski demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Lukasz Brzeski capitalized on this activity level, while Valter Walker's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Lukasz Brzeski: +26Valter Walker: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricLukasz BrzeskiValter Walker
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO987977
ELO Change+26-23
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What Happened

Lukasz Brzeski started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Valter Walker is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Lukasz Brzeski: +23Valter Walker: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricLukasz BrzeskiValter Walker
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO984977
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.