August 25, 2023
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lukasz Brzeski | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 919 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +4 | -4 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Lukasz Brzeski | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +1 | -1 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Lukasz Brzeski | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:01 | 3:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 954 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +4 | -4 |
Lukasz Brzeski earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:01, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Lukasz Brzeski | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 22 | 45 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 16 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 926 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
Waldo Cortes Acosta controlled the striking through superior accuracy (33.3% vs 63.6%), 1 knockdown. However, since Waldo Cortes Acosta lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Lukasz Brzeski's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Lukasz Brzeski | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 878 | 935 |
| ELO Change | +4 | -4 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Lukasz Brzeski | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 962 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +2 | -2 |
Lukasz Brzeski demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Lukasz Brzeski capitalized on this activity level, while Waldo Cortes Acosta's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lukasz Brzeski | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 961 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +1 | -1 |
Both fighters entered without active win streaks, creating neutral momentum conditions. Lukasz Brzeski broke his rough patch while Waldo Cortes Acosta extended his struggles.
| Metric | Lukasz Brzeski | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +1 | -1 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

