June 19, 2015
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lukasz Sajewski | Nick Hein |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 971 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Nick Hein's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nick Hein for the expected result. Had Lukasz Sajewski pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Lukasz Sajewski | Nick Hein |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Lukasz Sajewski | Nick Hein |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 959 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Nick Hein earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Lukasz Sajewski | Nick Hein |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 54 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 86 | 126 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 961 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Nick Hein controlled the striking exchanges with 64 vs 37 total strikes, 54 vs 26 significant strikes, 42.9% vs 30.2% accuracy. Nick Hein capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Lukasz Sajewski | Nick Hein |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:50 | 0:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 974 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Nick Hein did not secure a significant ground advantage against Lukasz Sajewski on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:56 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Lukasz Sajewski | Nick Hein |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Nick Hein demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Nick Hein capitalized on this activity level, while Lukasz Sajewski's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lukasz Sajewski | Nick Hein |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Nick Hein started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lukasz Sajewski is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Lukasz Sajewski | Nick Hein |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.