May 30, 2014
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Luke Barnatt | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 039 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Luke Barnatt | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Luke Barnatt | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 108 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Sean Strickland receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Luke Barnatt | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 187 | 161 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 44 | 49 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 122 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Sean Strickland slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Sean Strickland capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Luke Barnatt | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:30 | 0:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 110 | 1 221 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Sean Strickland controlled Luke Barnatt on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:41 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Luke Barnatt | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 217 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 1 030 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +69 |
Sean Strickland demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Sean Strickland capitalized on this activity level, while Luke Barnatt's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Luke Barnatt | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +27 |
Sean Strickland extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luke Barnatt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Luke Barnatt | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.