June 11, 2007
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Luke Caudillo | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 966 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Luke Caudillo | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Luke Caudillo | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 954 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Nate Mohr earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Luke Caudillo | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 70 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 128 | 185 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 71 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 951 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Nate Mohr controlled the striking exchanges with 71 vs 28 total strikes, 70 vs 28 significant strikes, 37.8% vs 21.9% accuracy. Nate Mohr capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Luke Caudillo | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 975 | 965 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Luke Caudillo | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 68 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +66 |
Nate Mohr demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 68 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Nate Mohr capitalized on this activity level, while Luke Caudillo's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Luke Caudillo | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Nate Mohr started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luke Caudillo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Luke Caudillo | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

