Luke Fernandez vs Rodolfo Bellato

March 7, 2026

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

964
(-36)
Luke Fernandez
Winner: Rodolfo Bellato
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:42

C-ELO Evolution

Luke Fernandez-36
Rodolfo Bellato+44
1061
(+44)
Rodolfo Bellato

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Luke Fernandez: -27Rodolfo Bellato: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricLuke FernandezRodolfo Bellato
Total UFC Fights15
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO9731 074
ELO Change-27+27
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What Happened

Rodolfo Bellato's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rodolfo Bellato for the expected result. Had Luke Fernandez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Luke Fernandez: -21Rodolfo Bellato: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricLuke FernandezRodolfo Bellato
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 020
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Luke Fernandez: -34Rodolfo Bellato: +77

Performance Statistics

MetricLuke FernandezRodolfo Bellato
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:422:42
Win Type ELO9661 143
ELO Change-34+77
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What Happened

Rodolfo Bellato earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:42, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Luke Fernandez: -88Rodolfo Bellato: +88

Performance Statistics

MetricLuke FernandezRodolfo Bellato
Significant Strikes Landed1630
Significant Strikes Attempted3346
Total Strikes Landed2632
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9121 116
ELO Change-88+88
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What Happened

Rodolfo Bellato controlled the striking exchanges with 30 vs 16 significant strikes, 65.2% vs 48.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Rodolfo Bellato capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Luke Fernandez: -54Rodolfo Bellato: +54

Performance Statistics

MetricLuke FernandezRodolfo Bellato
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:220:11
Ground Strikes Landed020
Ground ELO9461 041
ELO Change-54+54
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What Happened

Rodolfo Bellato controlled Luke Fernandez on the ground with 20 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Luke Fernandez: -21Rodolfo Bellato: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricLuke FernandezRodolfo Bellato
Days Since Last FightN/A161
Activity ELO9791 044
ELO Change-21+36
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What Happened

Rodolfo Bellato demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rodolfo Bellato capitalized on this activity level, while Luke Fernandez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Luke Fernandez: -21Rodolfo Bellato: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricLuke FernandezRodolfo Bellato
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 026
ELO Change-21+23
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What Happened

Rodolfo Bellato started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luke Fernandez is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Luke Fernandez: -21Rodolfo Bellato: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricLuke FernandezRodolfo Bellato
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 020
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.