March 7, 2026
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Luke Fernandez | Rodolfo Bellato |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 973 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Rodolfo Bellato's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rodolfo Bellato for the expected result. Had Luke Fernandez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Luke Fernandez | Rodolfo Bellato |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Luke Fernandez | Rodolfo Bellato |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:42 | 2:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 966 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +77 |
Rodolfo Bellato earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:42, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Luke Fernandez | Rodolfo Bellato |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 33 | 46 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 912 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -88 | +88 |
Rodolfo Bellato controlled the striking exchanges with 30 vs 16 significant strikes, 65.2% vs 48.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Rodolfo Bellato capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Luke Fernandez | Rodolfo Bellato |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:22 | 0:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 20 |
| Ground ELO | 946 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Rodolfo Bellato controlled Luke Fernandez on the ground with 20 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Luke Fernandez | Rodolfo Bellato |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +36 |
Rodolfo Bellato demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rodolfo Bellato capitalized on this activity level, while Luke Fernandez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Luke Fernandez | Rodolfo Bellato |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Rodolfo Bellato started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luke Fernandez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Luke Fernandez | Rodolfo Bellato |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

