September 21, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Luke Jumeau | Shinsho Anzai |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 026 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Luke Jumeau | Shinsho Anzai |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 997 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Luke Jumeau | Shinsho Anzai |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 992 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Shinsho Anzai earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Luke Jumeau | Shinsho Anzai |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 49 | 51 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 95 | 95 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 97 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 983 | 977 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Shinsho Anzai controlled the striking exchanges with 97 vs 53 total strikes. Shinsho Anzai capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Luke Jumeau | Shinsho Anzai |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 12 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:03 | 3:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 959 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Shinsho Anzai controlled Luke Jumeau on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:39 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Luke Jumeau | Shinsho Anzai |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 104 | 727 |
| Activity ELO | 998 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +20 |
Shinsho Anzai demonstrated extended layoff with 727 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Shinsho Anzai capitalized on this activity level, while Luke Jumeau's 104-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Luke Jumeau | Shinsho Anzai |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 999 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
Shinsho Anzai extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luke Jumeau is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Luke Jumeau | Shinsho Anzai |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 997 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.