February 9, 2018
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Luke Rockhold | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 281 | 1 353 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (9 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Luke Rockhold | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 171 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Luke Rockhold | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:48 | 1:48 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 493 | 1 643 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +75 |
Yoel Romero gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Luke Rockhold | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 45 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 119 | 92 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 45 | 52 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 363 | 1 659 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Yoel Romero controlled the striking exchanges with 48.9% vs 37.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Yoel Romero capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Luke Rockhold | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 429 | 1 518 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Luke Rockhold | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 218 |
| Activity ELO | 1 231 | 1 299 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Yoel Romero demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Yoel Romero capitalized on this activity level, while Luke Rockhold's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Luke Rockhold | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 180 | 1 351 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +14 |
Yoel Romero started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luke Rockhold is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Luke Rockhold | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 098 | 1 172 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.