November 27, 2020
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Luke Sanders | Nate Maness |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 034 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +48 |
Nate Maness overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Luke Sanders.
| Metric | Luke Sanders | Nate Maness |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 991 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Luke Sanders | Nate Maness |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:29 | 2:29 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 104 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +86 |
Nate Maness earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:29, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Luke Sanders was submitted.
| Metric | Luke Sanders | Nate Maness |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 112 | 70 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 63 | 38 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 029 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +63 |
Luke Sanders controlled the striking through superior volume (63 vs 38 total strikes), significant strike advantage (55 vs 33). However, since Luke Sanders lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Nate Maness's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Luke Sanders | Nate Maness |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:40 | 0:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 943 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -135 | +135 |
Nate Maness dominated Luke Sanders on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:30 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Luke Sanders | Nate Maness |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 650 | 120 |
| Activity ELO | 1 041 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +47 |
Nate Maness demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Nate Maness capitalized on this activity level, while Luke Sanders's 650-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Luke Sanders | Nate Maness |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 001 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Nate Maness extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luke Sanders is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Luke Sanders | Nate Maness |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 989 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

