February 16, 2019
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Luke Sanders | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 070 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -26 |
Luke Sanders overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Renan Barao.
| Metric | Luke Sanders | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 011 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Luke Sanders | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:01 | 1:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 160 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | +118 | -57 |
Luke Sanders gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Luke Sanders | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 75 | 78 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 092 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +100 | -100 |
Luke Sanders controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Luke Sanders capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Luke Sanders | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:17 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 078 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -75 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Luke Sanders | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 177 | 149 |
| Activity ELO | 1 065 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -27 |
Luke Sanders demonstrated solid activity levels with 177 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Luke Sanders capitalized on this activity level, while Renan Barao's 149-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Luke Sanders | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -27 |
Luke Sanders started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Renan Barao is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Luke Sanders | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 009 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.