November 19, 2010
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 223 | 1 218 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +45 |
Quinton Jackson overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Lyoto Machida.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 188 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 403 | 1 322 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Quinton Jackson receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 51 | 49 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 450 | 1 359 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Lyoto Machida controlled the striking through superior volume (53 vs 70 total strikes), significant strike advantage (33 vs 16), superior accuracy (64.7% vs 32.7%). However, since Lyoto Machida lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Quinton Jackson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:38 | 2:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 364 | 1 246 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Quinton Jackson did not secure a significant ground advantage against Lyoto Machida on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:21 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 1 270 | 1 282 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +42 |
Quinton Jackson demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Quinton Jackson capitalized on this activity level, while Lyoto Machida's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 229 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +33 |
Quinton Jackson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lyoto Machida is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 108 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.

