December 28, 2007
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 146 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Lyoto Machida's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Lyoto Machida for the expected result. Had Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 078 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:20 | 4:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 167 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -28 |
Lyoto Machida earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:20, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou was submitted.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 48 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 253 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Lyoto Machida controlled the striking exchanges with 40 vs 19 total strikes, 21 vs 6 significant strikes, 43.8% vs 25.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Lyoto Machida capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:34 | 0:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 262 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
Lyoto Machida dominated Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou on the ground with 0 takedowns, 5:34 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 99 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 156 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -14 |
Lyoto Machida demonstrated solid activity levels with 99 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Lyoto Machida capitalized on this activity level, while Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 096 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -17 |
Lyoto Machida extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 078 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

