May 22, 2009
UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 292 | 1 242 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -34 |
Lyoto Machida overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Rashad Evans.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 208 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -27 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Lyoto Machida captured the UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:57 | 3:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 460 | 1 399 |
| ELO Change | +111 | -54 |
Lyoto Machida gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 46 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 3 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 667 | 1 274 |
| ELO Change | +166 | -166 |
Lyoto Machida dominated the striking exchanges with 37 vs 5 total strikes, 28 vs 4 significant strikes, 60.9% vs 16.7% accuracy, including 3 devastating knockdowns. Lyoto Machida capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:30 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 448 | 1 393 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -65 |
Lyoto Machida landed 3 knockdowns followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 309 | 1 305 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -26 |
Lyoto Machida demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Lyoto Machida capitalized on this activity level, while Rashad Evans's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 7 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 259 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -22 |
Lyoto Machida continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Rashad Evans's now at 0.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Rashad Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 147 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.