January 30, 2009
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 251 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 128 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:59 | 4:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 349 | 1 267 |
| ELO Change | +111 | -52 |
Lyoto Machida earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 40 | 10 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 32 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 501 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | +151 | -151 |
Lyoto Machida dominated the striking exchanges with 24 vs 2 significant strikes, 60.0% vs 20.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Lyoto Machida capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:28 | 0:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 383 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Lyoto Machida landed 2 knockdowns followed by 12 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 253 | 253 |
| Activity ELO | 1 244 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -17 |
Lyoto Machida demonstrated standard activity with 253 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Lyoto Machida capitalized on this activity level, while Thiago Silva's 253-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 6 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 194 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -18 |
Lyoto Machida continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Thiago Silva's now at 0.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 123 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.