May 23, 2008
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 21 |
| Experience Gap | -16 | 16 |
| Experience ELO | 1 226 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -39 |
Lyoto Machida overcame a 16-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 21 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tito Ortiz.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 109 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 238 | 1 389 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -71 |
Lyoto Machida earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 41 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 60 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 350 | 1 274 |
| ELO Change | +97 | -97 |
Lyoto Machida controlled the striking exchanges with 67 vs 39 total strikes, 41 vs 16 significant strikes, 68.3% vs 30.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Lyoto Machida capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:55 | 0:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 349 | 1 305 |
| ELO Change | +87 | -87 |
Lyoto Machida landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 322 |
| Activity ELO | 1 223 | 1 365 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -34 |
Lyoto Machida demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Lyoto Machida capitalized on this activity level, while Tito Ortiz's 322-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 151 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -29 |
Lyoto Machida continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Tito Ortiz's now at 0.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 104 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.