May 11, 2018
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 24 | 26 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 249 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -32 |
Lyoto Machida overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (24 vs 26 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Vitor Belfort.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 182 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:00 | 1:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 507 | 1 447 |
| ELO Change | +112 | -54 |
Lyoto Machida gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 22 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 453 | 1 189 |
| ELO Change | +126 | -126 |
Lyoto Machida controlled the striking exchanges with 11 vs 2 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 16.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Lyoto Machida capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 188 | 1 231 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 343 |
| Activity ELO | 1 385 | 1 350 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -24 |
Lyoto Machida demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Lyoto Machida capitalized on this activity level, while Vitor Belfort's 343-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 220 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Lyoto Machida extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vitor Belfort is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 132 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.