June 26, 2015
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 21 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 15 | -15 |
| Experience ELO | 1 217 | 1 286 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +70 |
Yoel Romero overcame a 15-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 21 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Lyoto Machida.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 170 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:38 | 1:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 431 | 1 479 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +112 |
Yoel Romero gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 64 | 70 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 44 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 436 | 1 481 |
| ELO Change | -82 | +82 |
Yoel Romero edged the striking exchanges with 42 vs 31 significant strikes, 60.0% vs 48.4% accuracy. Yoel Romero capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 171 | 1 371 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Yoel Romero controlled Lyoto Machida on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 70 | 273 |
| Activity ELO | 1 330 | 1 238 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Yoel Romero demonstrated standard activity with 273 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Yoel Romero capitalized on this activity level, while Lyoto Machida's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 205 | 1 213 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +62 |
Yoel Romero continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Lyoto Machida's now at 0.
| Metric | Lyoto Machida | Yoel Romero |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 114 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.