Mac Danzig vs Matt Wiman

June 11, 2010

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

991
(-21)
Mac Danzig
Winner: Matt Wiman
Submission
Round 1 • 1:45

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Mac Danzig-21
Matt Wiman+26
1106
(+26)
Matt Wiman

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Mac Danzig: -25Matt Wiman: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricMac DanzigMatt Wiman
Total UFC Fights79
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9651 083
ELO Change-25+25
💡

What Happened

Matt Wiman's 2-fight experience advantage (9 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Wiman for the expected result. Had Mac Danzig pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Mac Danzig: -19Matt Wiman: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricMac DanzigMatt Wiman
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9771 054
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Mac Danzig: -31Matt Wiman: +59

Performance Statistics

MetricMac DanzigMatt Wiman
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:451:45
Win Type ELO1 0111 195
ELO Change-31+59
💡

What Happened

Matt Wiman earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:45, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Mac Danzig: -21Matt Wiman: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMac DanzigMatt Wiman
Significant Strikes Landed44
Significant Strikes Attempted812
Total Strikes Landed96
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0461 093
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Mac Danzig controlled the striking through superior accuracy (50.0% vs 33.3%). However, since Mac Danzig lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Matt Wiman's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Mac Danzig: -22Matt Wiman: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricMac DanzigMatt Wiman
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:570:24
Ground Strikes Landed11
Ground ELO9461 174
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

Matt Wiman edged out Mac Danzig on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:24 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Mac Danzig: -17Matt Wiman: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMac DanzigMatt Wiman
Days Since Last Fight126182
Activity ELO1 0161 122
ELO Change-17+21
💡

What Happened

Matt Wiman demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Matt Wiman capitalized on this activity level, while Mac Danzig's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Mac Danzig: -18Matt Wiman: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricMac DanzigMatt Wiman
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9871 076
ELO Change-18+22
💡

What Happened

Matt Wiman extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mac Danzig is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Mac Danzig: -19Matt Wiman: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricMac DanzigMatt Wiman
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9771 054
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.