June 11, 2010
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mac Danzig | Matt Wiman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 965 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Matt Wiman's 2-fight experience advantage (9 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Wiman for the expected result. Had Mac Danzig pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Mac Danzig | Matt Wiman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 977 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mac Danzig | Matt Wiman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:45 | 1:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 011 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +59 |
Matt Wiman earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:45, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Mac Danzig | Matt Wiman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 046 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Mac Danzig controlled the striking through superior accuracy (50.0% vs 33.3%). However, since Mac Danzig lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Matt Wiman's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Mac Danzig | Matt Wiman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:57 | 0:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 946 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Matt Wiman edged out Mac Danzig on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:24 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Mac Danzig | Matt Wiman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 1 016 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +21 |
Matt Wiman demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Matt Wiman capitalized on this activity level, while Mac Danzig's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mac Danzig | Matt Wiman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 987 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Matt Wiman extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mac Danzig is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mac Danzig | Matt Wiman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 977 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

