October 8, 2021
Women's Strawweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mackenzie Dern | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 146 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Mackenzie Dern | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 069 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mackenzie Dern | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 197 | 1 276 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Marina Rodriguez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Mackenzie Dern | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 49 | 144 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 174 | 279 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 80 | 148 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 136 | 1 255 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Marina Rodriguez dominated the striking exchanges with 148 vs 80 total strikes, 144 vs 49 significant strikes, 51.6% vs 28.2% accuracy. Marina Rodriguez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mackenzie Dern | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:21 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 278 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Marina Rodriguez did not secure a significant ground advantage against Mackenzie Dern on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Mackenzie Dern | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 190 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +43 |
Marina Rodriguez demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marina Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while Mackenzie Dern's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mackenzie Dern | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 094 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +30 |
Marina Rodriguez extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mackenzie Dern is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mackenzie Dern | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 069 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.