September 18, 2020
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mackenzie Dern | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 119 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -22 |
Mackenzie Dern overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Randa Markos.
| Metric | Mackenzie Dern | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 054 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mackenzie Dern | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:44 | 3:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 150 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -30 |
Mackenzie Dern earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:44, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Mackenzie Dern | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 097 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Mackenzie Dern slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 9 vs 3 significant strikes, 69.2% vs 60.0% accuracy. Mackenzie Dern capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mackenzie Dern | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:45 | 1:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 200 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +93 | -93 |
Mackenzie Dern dominated Randa Markos on the ground with 1:45 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Mackenzie Dern | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 131 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -19 |
Mackenzie Dern demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mackenzie Dern capitalized on this activity level, while Randa Markos's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mackenzie Dern | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 066 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Mackenzie Dern extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Randa Markos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mackenzie Dern | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 054 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.