Mackenzie Dern vs Tecia Pennington

April 8, 2022

Women's Strawweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1168
(+21)
Mackenzie Dern
Winner: Mackenzie Dern
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Mackenzie Dern+21
Tecia Pennington-19
1090
(-19)
Tecia Pennington

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Mackenzie Dern: +40Tecia Pennington: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricMackenzie DernTecia Pennington
Total UFC Fights915
Experience Gap-66
Experience ELO1 1861 083
ELO Change+40-28
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What Happened

Mackenzie Dern overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tecia Pennington.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Mackenzie Dern: +21Tecia Pennington: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMackenzie DernTecia Pennington
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0901 052
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Mackenzie Dern: +9Tecia Pennington: -9

Performance Statistics

MetricMackenzie DernTecia Pennington
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2061 132
ELO Change+9-9
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Mackenzie Dern receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Mackenzie Dern: +21Tecia Pennington: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMackenzie DernTecia Pennington
Significant Strikes Landed5076
Significant Strikes Attempted156124
Total Strikes Landed5878
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1571 123
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Tecia Pennington controlled the striking through superior volume (78 vs 58 total strikes), significant strike advantage (76 vs 50), superior accuracy (61.3% vs 32.1%). However, since Tecia Pennington lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Mackenzie Dern's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Mackenzie Dern: +11Tecia Pennington: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricMackenzie DernTecia Pennington
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted52
Ground Control Time2:242:54
Ground Strikes Landed11
Ground ELO1 2891 085
ELO Change+11-11
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What Happened

Mackenzie Dern did not secure a significant ground advantage against Tecia Pennington on the ground with 2:24 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Mackenzie Dern: +22Tecia Pennington: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricMackenzie DernTecia Pennington
Days Since Last Fight182245
Activity ELO1 2121 120
ELO Change+22-18
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What Happened

Mackenzie Dern demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Mackenzie Dern capitalized on this activity level, while Tecia Pennington's 245-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Mackenzie Dern: +23Tecia Pennington: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMackenzie DernTecia Pennington
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1171 077
ELO Change+23-21
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What Happened

Mackenzie Dern started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tecia Pennington is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Mackenzie Dern: +21Tecia Pennington: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMackenzie DernTecia Pennington
Weight ClassWomen's StrawweightWomen's Strawweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0901 046
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.