Mackenzie Dern vs Virna Jandiroba

December 11, 2020

Women's Strawweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1137
(+28)
Mackenzie Dern
Winner: Mackenzie Dern
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Mackenzie Dern+28
Virna Jandiroba-23
1047
(-23)
Virna Jandiroba

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Mackenzie Dern: +26Virna Jandiroba: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricMackenzie DernVirna Jandiroba
Total UFC Fights64
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 1451 030
ELO Change+26-26
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What Happened

Mackenzie Dern's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mackenzie Dern for the expected result. Had Virna Jandiroba pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Mackenzie Dern: +19Virna Jandiroba: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricMackenzie DernVirna Jandiroba
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0731 007
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Mackenzie Dern: +40Virna Jandiroba: -40

Performance Statistics

MetricMackenzie DernVirna Jandiroba
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1901 096
ELO Change+40-40
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What Happened

Mackenzie Dern earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Mackenzie Dern: +25Virna Jandiroba: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricMackenzie DernVirna Jandiroba
Significant Strikes Landed8263
Significant Strikes Attempted174134
Total Strikes Landed10180
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1221 031
ELO Change+25-25
💡

What Happened

Mackenzie Dern controlled the striking exchanges with 101 vs 80 total strikes, 82 vs 63 significant strikes. Mackenzie Dern capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Mackenzie Dern: +22Virna Jandiroba: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricMackenzie DernVirna Jandiroba
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted51
Ground Control Time2:342:44
Ground Strikes Landed32
Ground ELO1 2221 169
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

Mackenzie Dern did not secure a significant ground advantage against Virna Jandiroba on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:34 of control time, 3 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Mackenzie Dern: +47Virna Jandiroba: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricMackenzie DernVirna Jandiroba
Days Since Last Fight85120
Activity ELO1 1781 025
ELO Change+47-16
💡

What Happened

Mackenzie Dern demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 85 days since her last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Mackenzie Dern capitalized on this activity level, while Virna Jandiroba's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Mackenzie Dern: +25Virna Jandiroba: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricMackenzie DernVirna Jandiroba
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 0911 014
ELO Change+25-19
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What Happened

Mackenzie Dern extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Virna Jandiroba is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Mackenzie Dern: +19Virna Jandiroba: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricMackenzie DernVirna Jandiroba
Weight ClassWomen's StrawweightWomen's Strawweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0731 005
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.