March 15, 2024
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Macy Chiasson | Pannie Kianzad |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 106 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Macy Chiasson | Pannie Kianzad |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 069 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Macy Chiasson | Pannie Kianzad |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:54 | 3:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 182 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -36 |
Macy Chiasson earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:54, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Macy Chiasson | Pannie Kianzad |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 10 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 111 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Pannie Kianzad controlled the striking through superior volume (29 vs 5 total strikes). However, since Pannie Kianzad lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Macy Chiasson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Macy Chiasson | Pannie Kianzad |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:28 | 0:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 203 | 919 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Macy Chiasson controlled Pannie Kianzad on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 2:28 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Macy Chiasson | Pannie Kianzad |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 554 | 239 |
| Activity ELO | 1 153 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -19 |
Macy Chiasson demonstrated extended layoff with 554 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Macy Chiasson capitalized on this activity level, while Pannie Kianzad's 239-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Macy Chiasson | Pannie Kianzad |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 087 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Macy Chiasson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Pannie Kianzad is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Macy Chiasson | Pannie Kianzad |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 068 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.