December 17, 2021
Women's Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Macy Chiasson | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 073 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Raquel Pennington's 8-fight experience advantage (15 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Raquel Pennington for the expected result. Had Macy Chiasson pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Macy Chiasson | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 050 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Macy Chiasson | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:07 | 3:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 145 | 1 258 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +63 |
Raquel Pennington earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:07, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Macy Chiasson was submitted.
| Metric | Macy Chiasson | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 45 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 86 | 79 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 64 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 143 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Raquel Pennington controlled the striking exchanges with 45 vs 26 significant strikes, 57.0% vs 30.2% accuracy. Raquel Pennington capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Macy Chiasson | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:18 | 1:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 131 | 1 255 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Raquel Pennington edged out Macy Chiasson on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:09 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Macy Chiasson | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 273 | 92 |
| Activity ELO | 1 118 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +47 |
Raquel Pennington demonstrated solid activity levels with 92 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Raquel Pennington capitalized on this activity level, while Macy Chiasson's 273-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Macy Chiasson | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 064 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Raquel Pennington extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Macy Chiasson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Macy Chiasson | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Featherweight | Women's Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 049 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.