Mads Burnell vs Michel Prazeres

September 1, 2017

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

976
(-24)
Mads Burnell
Winner: Michel Prazeres
Submission
Round 3 • 1:26

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Mads Burnell-24
Michel Prazeres+28
1174
(+28)
Michel Prazeres

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Mads Burnell: -20Michel Prazeres: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricMads BurnellMichel Prazeres
Total UFC Fights19
Experience Gap-88
Experience ELO9801 149
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

Michel Prazeres's 8-fight experience advantage (9 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michel Prazeres for the expected result. Had Mads Burnell pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Mads Burnell: -16Michel Prazeres: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricMads BurnellMichel Prazeres
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9841 095
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Mads Burnell: -24Michel Prazeres: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricMads BurnellMichel Prazeres
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round33
Time of Finish1:261:26
Win Type ELO9761 194
ELO Change-24+36
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What Happened

Michel Prazeres earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:26, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Mads Burnell was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Mads Burnell: -29Michel Prazeres: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricMads BurnellMichel Prazeres
Significant Strikes Landed1026
Significant Strikes Attempted3048
Total Strikes Landed1243
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9711 190
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Michel Prazeres controlled the striking exchanges with 43 vs 12 total strikes, 26 vs 10 significant strikes, 54.2% vs 33.3% accuracy. Michel Prazeres capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Mads Burnell: -63Michel Prazeres: +63

Performance Statistics

MetricMads BurnellMichel Prazeres
Takedowns Landed04
Takedowns Attempted06
Ground Control Time0:208:51
Ground Strikes Landed011
Ground ELO9371 346
ELO Change-63+63
💡

What Happened

Michel Prazeres dominated Mads Burnell on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 8:51 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Mads Burnell: -11Michel Prazeres: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricMads BurnellMichel Prazeres
Days Since Last FightN/A175
Activity ELO9891 191
ELO Change-11+20
💡

What Happened

Michel Prazeres demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Michel Prazeres capitalized on this activity level, while Mads Burnell's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Mads Burnell: -15Michel Prazeres: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricMads BurnellMichel Prazeres
Win Streak05
Win Streak ELO9851 132
ELO Change-15+28
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What Happened

Michel Prazeres continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Mads Burnell's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Mads Burnell: -16Michel Prazeres: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricMads BurnellMichel Prazeres
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9841 095
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.