January 13, 2018
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mads Burnell | Mike Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 011 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Mads Burnell | Mike Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 005 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mads Burnell | Mike Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 016 | 918 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Mads Burnell earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Mads Burnell | Mike Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 51 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 34 | 79 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 110 | 95 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 993 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Mike Santiago controlled the striking through superior volume (95 vs 110 total strikes), significant strike advantage (51 vs 20). However, since Mike Santiago lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Mads Burnell's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Mads Burnell | Mike Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:13 | 4:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 16 |
| Ground ELO | 978 | 834 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Mads Burnell edged out Mike Santiago on the ground with 3 takedowns, 9:13 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Mads Burnell | Mike Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 135 | 135 |
| Activity ELO | 1 030 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -20 |
Mads Burnell demonstrated solid activity levels with 135 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mads Burnell capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Santiago's 135-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mads Burnell | Mike Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Mads Burnell started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Santiago is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mads Burnell | Mike Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

