March 11, 2022
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Magomed Ankalaev | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 23 |
| Experience Gap | -14 | 14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 271 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -32 |
Magomed Ankalaev overcame a 14-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 23 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Thiago Santos.
| Metric | Magomed Ankalaev | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 139 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Magomed Ankalaev | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 511 | 1 426 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Magomed Ankalaev earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Magomed Ankalaev | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 78 | 60 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 155 | 138 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 114 | 81 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 504 | 1 416 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Magomed Ankalaev controlled the striking exchanges with 114 vs 81 total strikes, 78 vs 60 significant strikes. Magomed Ankalaev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Magomed Ankalaev | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:35 | 0:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 346 | 1 184 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Magomed Ankalaev edged out Thiago Santos on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:35 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Magomed Ankalaev | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 1 273 | 1 304 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -28 |
Magomed Ankalaev demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Magomed Ankalaev capitalized on this activity level, while Thiago Santos's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Magomed Ankalaev | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 8 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 273 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -18 |
Magomed Ankalaev continued building serious momentum with a 8-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Thiago Santos's now at 0.
| Metric | Magomed Ankalaev | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 139 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.