December 6, 2019
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Makhmud Muradov | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 126 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -26 |
Makhmud Muradov overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Trevor Smith.
| Metric | Makhmud Muradov | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Makhmud Muradov | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:09 | 4:09 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 129 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +85 | -42 |
Makhmud Muradov gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Makhmud Muradov | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 91 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 183 | 96 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 91 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 155 | 953 |
| ELO Change | +117 | -117 |
Makhmud Muradov dominated the striking exchanges with 91 vs 39 total strikes, 91 vs 39 significant strikes, 49.7% vs 40.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Makhmud Muradov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Makhmud Muradov | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:07 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 062 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Makhmud Muradov | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 71 | 357 |
| Activity ELO | 1 094 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -24 |
Makhmud Muradov demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 71 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Makhmud Muradov capitalized on this activity level, while Trevor Smith's 357-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Makhmud Muradov | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Makhmud Muradov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Trevor Smith is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Makhmud Muradov | Trevor Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 040 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

