Makwan Amirkhani vs Mike Grundy

March 18, 2022

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1061
(+32)
Makwan Amirkhani
Winner: Makwan Amirkhani
Submission
Round 1 • 0:57

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Makwan Amirkhani+32
Mike Grundy-25
980
(-25)
Mike Grundy

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Makwan Amirkhani: +34Mike Grundy: -34

Performance Statistics

MetricMakwan AmirkhaniMike Grundy
Total UFC Fights124
Experience Gap8-8
Experience ELO1 017980
ELO Change+34-34
💡

What Happened

Makwan Amirkhani's 8-fight experience advantage (12 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Makwan Amirkhani for the expected result. Had Mike Grundy pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Makwan Amirkhani: +19Mike Grundy: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricMakwan AmirkhaniMike Grundy
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 026962
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Makwan Amirkhani: +76Mike Grundy: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricMakwan AmirkhaniMike Grundy
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish0:570:57
Win Type ELO1 1841 018
ELO Change+76-35
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What Happened

Makwan Amirkhani locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:57 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Makwan Amirkhani: +27Mike Grundy: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricMakwan AmirkhaniMike Grundy
Significant Strikes Landed00
Significant Strikes Attempted13
Total Strikes Landed00
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO917974
ELO Change+27-27
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What Happened

Virtually no striking took place with only 0 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Makwan Amirkhani: +27Mike Grundy: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricMakwan AmirkhaniMike Grundy
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:150:31
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 1951 008
ELO Change+27-27
💡

What Happened

Makwan Amirkhani edged out Mike Grundy on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:15 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Makwan Amirkhani: +36Mike Grundy: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricMakwan AmirkhaniMike Grundy
Days Since Last Fight141309
Activity ELO1 079971
ELO Change+36-18
💡

What Happened

Makwan Amirkhani demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Makwan Amirkhani capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Grundy's 309-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Makwan Amirkhani: +21Mike Grundy: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricMakwan AmirkhaniMike Grundy
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 046967
ELO Change+21-19
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What Happened

Makwan Amirkhani started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Grundy is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Makwan Amirkhani: +19Mike Grundy: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricMakwan AmirkhaniMike Grundy
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 025962
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.