October 21, 2022
Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Malcolm Gordon | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 998 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +29 |
Muhammad Mokaev overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Malcolm Gordon.
| Metric | Malcolm Gordon | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 987 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Malcolm Gordon | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:26 | 4:26 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 048 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +56 |
Muhammad Mokaev earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:26, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Malcolm Gordon was submitted.
| Metric | Malcolm Gordon | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 30 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 119 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 927 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Muhammad Mokaev dominated the striking exchanges with 119 vs 38 total strikes, 70.0% vs 44.7% accuracy. Muhammad Mokaev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Malcolm Gordon | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:49 | 10:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 874 | 1 218 |
| ELO Change | -99 | +99 |
Muhammad Mokaev dominated Malcolm Gordon on the ground with 6 vs 1 takedowns, 10:18 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Malcolm Gordon | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 259 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 999 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +46 |
Muhammad Mokaev demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Muhammad Mokaev capitalized on this activity level, while Malcolm Gordon's 259-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Malcolm Gordon | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 993 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Muhammad Mokaev extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Malcolm Gordon is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Malcolm Gordon | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 987 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.