July 26, 2024
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Manel Kape | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 073 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +20 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Manel Kape | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 034 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Manel Kape | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 182 | 1 331 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Muhammad Mokaev earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Manel Kape | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 48 | 82 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 34 | 47 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 204 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Muhammad Mokaev edged the striking exchanges with 30 vs 20 significant strikes. Muhammad Mokaev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Manel Kape | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 2:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 087 | 1 425 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Muhammad Mokaev controlled Manel Kape on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 2:11 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Manel Kape | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 322 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 081 | 1 233 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +29 |
Muhammad Mokaev demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Muhammad Mokaev capitalized on this activity level, while Manel Kape's 322-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Manel Kape | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 7 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 057 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +44 |
Muhammad Mokaev continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Manel Kape's now at 0.
| Metric | Manel Kape | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 034 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.