December 3, 2021
Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Manel Kape | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 022 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -20 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Manel Kape | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 009 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Manel Kape | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:02 | 4:02 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 158 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -31 |
Manel Kape earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:02, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Manel Kape | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 53 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 72 | 79 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 31 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 172 | 882 |
| ELO Change | +92 | -92 |
Manel Kape dominated the striking exchanges with 54 vs 31 total strikes, 53 vs 31 significant strikes, 73.6% vs 39.2% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Manel Kape capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Manel Kape | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 027 | 946 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Manel Kape | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 056 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -20 |
Manel Kape demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Manel Kape capitalized on this activity level, while Zhalgas Zhumagulov's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Manel Kape | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 016 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Manel Kape extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Zhalgas Zhumagulov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Manel Kape | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 009 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

