June 16, 2023
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Manuel Torres | Nikolas Motta |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 088 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Manuel Torres | Nikolas Motta |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Manuel Torres | Nikolas Motta |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:50 | 1:50 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 183 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +96 | -40 |
Manuel Torres earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:50, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Manuel Torres | Nikolas Motta |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 14 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 149 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +95 | -95 |
Manuel Torres controlled the striking exchanges with 13 vs 7 significant strikes, 76.5% vs 50.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Manuel Torres capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Manuel Torres | Nikolas Motta |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 068 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Manuel Torres | Nikolas Motta |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 399 | 273 |
| Activity ELO | 1 039 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -21 |
Manuel Torres demonstrated extended layoff with 399 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Manuel Torres capitalized on this activity level, while Nikolas Motta's 273-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Manuel Torres | Nikolas Motta |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 045 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Manuel Torres extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nikolas Motta is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Manuel Torres | Nikolas Motta |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

