Manvel Gamburyan vs Nate Diaz

June 22, 2007

Ultimate Fighter 5 Lightweight Tournament Title Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

973
(-27)
Manvel Gamburyan
Winner: Nate Diaz
Submission
Round 2 • 0:20

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Manvel Gamburyan-27
Nate Diaz+31
1031
(+31)
Nate Diaz

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Manvel Gamburyan: -21Nate Diaz: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricManvel GamburyanNate Diaz
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Manvel Gamburyan: -21Nate Diaz: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricManvel GamburyanNate Diaz
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Manvel Gamburyan: -42Nate Diaz: +65

Performance Statistics

MetricManvel GamburyanNate Diaz
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish0:200:20
Win Type ELO9581 065
ELO Change-42+65
💡

What Happened

Nate Diaz earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 0:20, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Manvel Gamburyan was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Manvel Gamburyan: -30Nate Diaz: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricManvel GamburyanNate Diaz
Significant Strikes Landed162
Significant Strikes Attempted345
Total Strikes Landed2856
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9701 030
ELO Change-30+30
💡

What Happened

Manvel Gamburyan controlled the striking through superior volume (28 vs 56 total strikes), significant strike advantage (16 vs 2). However, since Manvel Gamburyan lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Nate Diaz's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Manvel Gamburyan: -42Nate Diaz: +42

Performance Statistics

MetricManvel GamburyanNate Diaz
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted41
Ground Control Time4:150:25
Ground Strikes Landed100
Ground ELO9581 042
ELO Change-42+42
💡

What Happened

Nate Diaz edged out Manvel Gamburyan on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:25 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Manvel Gamburyan: -21Nate Diaz: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricManvel GamburyanNate Diaz
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Nate Diaz demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Nate Diaz capitalized on this activity level, while Manvel Gamburyan's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Manvel Gamburyan: -21Nate Diaz: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricManvel GamburyanNate Diaz
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 023
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Nate Diaz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Manvel Gamburyan is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Manvel Gamburyan: -21Nate Diaz: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricManvel GamburyanNate Diaz
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.