December 28, 2007
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 015 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:31 | 1:31 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 050 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +92 | -48 |
Manvel Gamburyan earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:31, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 3 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 003 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Nate Mohr controlled the striking through superior accuracy (66.7% vs 50.0%). However, since Nate Mohr lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Manvel Gamburyan's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:59 | 0:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 017 | 906 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Manvel Gamburyan controlled Nate Mohr on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:59 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 190 | 201 |
| Activity ELO | 1 010 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -25 |
Manvel Gamburyan demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Manvel Gamburyan capitalized on this activity level, while Nate Mohr's 201-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -22 |
Manvel Gamburyan started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nate Mohr is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Nate Mohr |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.