May 9, 2014
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 985 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Nik Lentz's 3-fight experience advantage (14 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nik Lentz for the expected result. Had Manvel Gamburyan pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 974 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 022 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Nik Lentz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 52 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 52 | 99 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 60 | 90 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 882 | 1 231 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
Nik Lentz controlled the striking exchanges with 90 vs 60 total strikes, 52 vs 28 significant strikes. Nik Lentz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 16 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:22 | 9:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 033 | 1 290 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Nik Lentz dominated Manvel Gamburyan on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 9:18 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 018 | 1 231 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +22 |
Nik Lentz demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Nik Lentz capitalized on this activity level, while Manvel Gamburyan's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 988 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +16 |
Nik Lentz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Manvel Gamburyan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 974 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.