July 14, 2015
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Scott Jorgensen |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 042 | 892 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Manvel Gamburyan's 2-fight experience advantage (13 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Manvel Gamburyan for the expected result. Had Scott Jorgensen pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Scott Jorgensen |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 016 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Scott Jorgensen |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 131 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Manvel Gamburyan earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Scott Jorgensen |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 95 | 74 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 65 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 969 | 847 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Manvel Gamburyan controlled the striking exchanges with 42 vs 36 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Manvel Gamburyan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Scott Jorgensen |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 13 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:48 | 1:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 122 | 862 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Manvel Gamburyan landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Scott Jorgensen |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 291 | 263 |
| Activity ELO | 1 079 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Manvel Gamburyan demonstrated standard activity with 291 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Manvel Gamburyan capitalized on this activity level, while Scott Jorgensen's 263-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Scott Jorgensen |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 034 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Manvel Gamburyan extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Scott Jorgensen is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Manvel Gamburyan | Scott Jorgensen |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 016 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.