September 18, 2020
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mara Romero Borella | Mayra Bueno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 912 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +28 |
Mayra Bueno Silva overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mara Romero Borella.
| Metric | Mara Romero Borella | Mayra Bueno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 939 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mara Romero Borella | Mayra Bueno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:29 | 2:29 |
| Win Type ELO | 900 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +50 |
Mayra Bueno Silva earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:29, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Mara Romero Borella | Mayra Bueno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 9 | 7 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 899 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Mara Romero Borella controlled the striking through superior accuracy (66.7% vs 28.6%). However, since Mara Romero Borella lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Mayra Bueno Silva's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Mara Romero Borella | Mayra Bueno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 931 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Mayra Bueno Silva edged out Mara Romero Borella on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Mara Romero Borella | Mayra Bueno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 944 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Mayra Bueno Silva demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Mayra Bueno Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Mara Romero Borella's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mara Romero Borella | Mayra Bueno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 944 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Mayra Bueno Silva started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mara Romero Borella is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mara Romero Borella | Mayra Bueno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 939 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.