December 2, 2022
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marc Diakiese | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 26 |
| Experience Gap | -13 | 13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 031 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Michael Johnson's 13-fight experience advantage (26 vs 13 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michael Johnson for the expected result. Had Marc Diakiese pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Marc Diakiese | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 007 | 998 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marc Diakiese | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 116 | 1 223 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Michael Johnson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Marc Diakiese | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 83 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 127 | 181 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 83 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 119 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Michael Johnson controlled the striking exchanges with 83 vs 55 total strikes, 83 vs 55 significant strikes. Michael Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marc Diakiese | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 110 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -78 | +78 |
Michael Johnson controlled Marc Diakiese on the ground with 0:30 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Marc Diakiese | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 111 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +45 |
Michael Johnson demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Michael Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Marc Diakiese's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marc Diakiese | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +26 |
Michael Johnson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marc Diakiese is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marc Diakiese | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 007 | 998 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.