June 8, 2000
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marcelo Aguiar | Matt Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 974 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Marcelo Aguiar | Matt Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marcelo Aguiar | Matt Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:34 | 4:34 |
| Win Type ELO | 978 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Matt Hughes earned an early finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 1 at 4:34, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Marcelo Aguiar | Matt Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 2 | 31 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 953 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Matt Hughes controlled the striking exchanges with 18 vs 2 significant strikes, 58.1% vs 100.0% accuracy. Matt Hughes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marcelo Aguiar | Matt Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 4:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 18 |
| Ground ELO | 942 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Matt Hughes controlled Marcelo Aguiar on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:08 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Marcelo Aguiar | Matt Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 259 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Matt Hughes demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Matt Hughes capitalized on this activity level, while Marcelo Aguiar's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marcelo Aguiar | Matt Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Matt Hughes extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcelo Aguiar is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marcelo Aguiar | Matt Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.