April 19, 2019
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marcelo Golm | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 966 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +37 |
Sergei Pavlovich overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Marcelo Golm.
| Metric | Marcelo Golm | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 956 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marcelo Golm | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:06 | 1:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 936 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +95 |
Sergei Pavlovich earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Marcelo Golm | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 26 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 875 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -128 | +128 |
Sergei Pavlovich controlled the striking exchanges with 17 vs 5 significant strikes, 65.4% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Sergei Pavlovich capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marcelo Golm | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 950 | 985 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Marcelo Golm | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 960 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +41 |
Sergei Pavlovich demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sergei Pavlovich capitalized on this activity level, while Marcelo Golm's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marcelo Golm | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 958 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Sergei Pavlovich started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcelo Golm is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marcelo Golm | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 956 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

