July 26, 2024
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 999 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +39 |
Modestas Bukauskas overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Marcin Prachnio.
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 972 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:12 | 3:12 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 030 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +63 |
Modestas Bukauskas earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 3:12, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Marcin Prachnio was submitted.
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 70 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 139 | 76 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 120 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 013 | 918 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Marcin Prachnio controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (120 vs 56 total strikes), significant strike advantage (70 vs 38). However, since Marcin Prachnio lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Modestas Bukauskas's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 5:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 729 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -96 | +96 |
Modestas Bukauskas dominated Marcin Prachnio on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:31 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 266 |
| Activity ELO | 1 025 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +28 |
Modestas Bukauskas demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Modestas Bukauskas capitalized on this activity level, while Marcin Prachnio's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 985 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +24 |
Modestas Bukauskas started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcin Prachnio is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 972 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.