April 22, 2022
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Philipe Lins |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 965 | 991 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +44 |
Philipe Lins overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Marcin Prachnio.
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Philipe Lins |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 966 | 985 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Philipe Lins |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 012 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Philipe Lins earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Philipe Lins |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 74 | 64 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 117 | 110 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 116 | 96 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 930 | 905 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Marcin Prachnio controlled the striking through superior volume (116 vs 96 total strikes), significant strike advantage (74 vs 64). However, since Marcin Prachnio lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Philipe Lins's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Philipe Lins |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:53 | 5:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 851 | 995 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +67 |
Philipe Lins controlled Marcin Prachnio on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 5:28 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Philipe Lins |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 301 | 665 |
| Activity ELO | 1 012 | 992 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +23 |
Philipe Lins demonstrated extended layoff with 665 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Philipe Lins capitalized on this activity level, while Marcin Prachnio's 301-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Philipe Lins |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 975 | 990 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Philipe Lins started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcin Prachnio is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Philipe Lins |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 966 | 984 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.