Marcin Prachnio vs Sam Alvey

February 23, 2018

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

979
(-21)
Marcin Prachnio
Winner: Sam Alvey
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:23

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Marcin Prachnio-21
Sam Alvey+25
1175
(+25)
Sam Alvey

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Marcin Prachnio: -26Sam Alvey: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcin PrachnioSam Alvey
Total UFC Fights114
Experience Gap-1313
Experience ELO9741 090
ELO Change-26+26
💡

What Happened

Sam Alvey's 13-fight experience advantage (14 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sam Alvey for the expected result. Had Marcin Prachnio pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Marcin Prachnio: -17Sam Alvey: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcin PrachnioSam Alvey
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9831 082
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Marcin Prachnio: -18Sam Alvey: +39

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcin PrachnioSam Alvey
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:234:23
Win Type ELO9821 265
ELO Change-18+39
💡

What Happened

Sam Alvey earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:23, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Marcin Prachnio: -55Sam Alvey: +55

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcin PrachnioSam Alvey
Significant Strikes Landed1510
Significant Strikes Attempted2419
Total Strikes Landed3614
Knockdowns Scored02
Striking ELO9451 258
ELO Change-55+55
💡

What Happened

Marcin Prachnio controlled the striking through superior volume (36 vs 14 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (15 vs 10). However, since Marcin Prachnio lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Sam Alvey's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Marcin Prachnio: -17Sam Alvey: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcin PrachnioSam Alvey
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:141:41
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9831 177
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

Sam Alvey slightly outworked Marcin Prachnio on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:41 of control time, earning modest grappling bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Marcin Prachnio: -6Sam Alvey: +11

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcin PrachnioSam Alvey
Days Since Last FightN/A127
Activity ELO9941 337
ELO Change-6+11
💡

What Happened

Sam Alvey demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sam Alvey capitalized on this activity level, while Marcin Prachnio's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Marcin Prachnio: -15Sam Alvey: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcin PrachnioSam Alvey
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9851 114
ELO Change-15+17
💡

What Happened

Sam Alvey started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcin Prachnio is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Marcin Prachnio: -17Sam Alvey: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcin PrachnioSam Alvey
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9831 079
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.