July 7, 2023
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 977 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +37 |
Vitor Petrino overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Marcin Prachnio.
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 970 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:42 | 3:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 015 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +67 |
Vitor Petrino earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 3:42, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Marcin Prachnio was submitted.
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 44 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 88 | 81 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 147 | 72 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 997 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Marcin Prachnio controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (147 vs 72 total strikes), significant strike advantage (55 vs 44). However, since Marcin Prachnio lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Vitor Petrino's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:18 | 8:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 19 |
| Ground ELO | 779 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -99 | +99 |
Vitor Petrino dominated Marcin Prachnio on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 8:39 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 014 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +55 |
Vitor Petrino demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Vitor Petrino capitalized on this activity level, while Marcin Prachnio's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Vitor Petrino extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcin Prachnio is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marcin Prachnio | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 970 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

