July 10, 2020
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Maxim Grishin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 136 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Marcin Tybura's 10-fight experience advantage (11 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Marcin Tybura for the expected result. Had Maxim Grishin pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Maxim Grishin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Maxim Grishin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 197 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Marcin Tybura earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Maxim Grishin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 52 | 32 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 54 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 020 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Marcin Tybura edged the striking exchanges with 24 vs 18 significant strikes, 46.2% vs 56.3% accuracy. Marcin Tybura capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Maxim Grishin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:25 | 0:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 233 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Marcin Tybura dominated Maxim Grishin on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 9:25 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Maxim Grishin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 159 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -13 |
Marcin Tybura demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marcin Tybura capitalized on this activity level, while Maxim Grishin's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Maxim Grishin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 069 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Marcin Tybura extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Maxim Grishin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Maxim Grishin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 039 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

