March 22, 2025
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 22 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 17 | -17 |
| Experience ELO | 1 257 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Marcin Tybura's 17-fight experience advantage (22 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Marcin Tybura for the expected result. Had Mick Parkin pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 128 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 448 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Marcin Tybura earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 61 | 60 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 155 | 145 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 64 | 102 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 244 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Mick Parkin controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (102 vs 64 total strikes). However, since Mick Parkin lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Marcin Tybura's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:01 | 3:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 316 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Marcin Tybura did not secure a significant ground advantage against Mick Parkin on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:01 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 239 |
| Activity ELO | 1 322 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -12 |
Marcin Tybura demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marcin Tybura capitalized on this activity level, while Mick Parkin's 239-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 183 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -17 |
Marcin Tybura extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mick Parkin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 125 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

