February 28, 2020
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 114 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Marcin Tybura's 7-fight experience advantage (10 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Marcin Tybura for the expected result. Had Serghei Spivac pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 174 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Marcin Tybura earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 106 | 83 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 116 | 40 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 991 | 920 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Marcin Tybura dominated the striking exchanges with 116 vs 40 total strikes, 43 vs 26 significant strikes, 40.6% vs 31.3% accuracy. Marcin Tybura capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:22 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 23 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 187 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | +103 | -103 |
Marcin Tybura controlled Serghei Spivac on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 8:22 of control time, 23 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 169 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 132 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -17 |
Marcin Tybura demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marcin Tybura capitalized on this activity level, while Serghei Spivac's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Marcin Tybura started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Serghei Spivac is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.