August 9, 2024
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 20 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 211 | 1 273 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +51 |
Serghei Spivac overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 20 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Marcin Tybura.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 091 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:44 | 1:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 423 | 1 504 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +94 |
Serghei Spivac earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:44, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 182 | 1 313 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Serghei Spivac slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 60.0% vs 0.0% accuracy. Serghei Spivac capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:43 | 0:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 276 | 1 445 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Serghei Spivac controlled Marcin Tybura on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:34 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 343 |
| Activity ELO | 1 271 | 1 233 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Serghei Spivac demonstrated standard activity with 343 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Serghei Spivac capitalized on this activity level, while Marcin Tybura's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 145 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +27 |
Serghei Spivac started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcin Tybura is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Serghei Spivac |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 088 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.